Jaida Harshman vs Ryujin Nasukawa
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jaida Harshman and Ryujin Nasukawa within a point of even.
Ryujin Nasukawa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1497, a 32-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record1-0-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'5"
-Reach-
125 lbsWeight119 lbs
Ironworks Training CenterTeamTeam Teppen
What's at stake
Ryujin Nasukawa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Jaida Harshman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1523
If they lose-22→ 1475
If they win+22→ 1551
If they lose-26→ 1503
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jaida HarshmanRyujin Nasukawa