Jaime Alvarez vs Kun Zhou
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record13-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'6"
TBDReach65.4"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSihai Liancheng Fight Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jaime AlvarezKun Zhou
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kun Zhou51%
Jaime Alvarez 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kun Zhou a 51% favorite over Jaime Alvarez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1592), separated by just 1 points.
Jaime Alvarez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kun Zhou enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jaime Alvarez finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kun Zhou 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.