Jaime Alvarez vs Ode Osbourne
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record13-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach73"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamWaukesha MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jaime AlvarezOde Osbourne
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ode Osbourne62%
Jaime Alvarez 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ode Osbourne a 62% favorite over Jaime Alvarez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jaime Alvarez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1591), separated by just 0 points.
Jaime Alvarez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ode Osbourne enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jaime Alvarez finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ode Osbourne 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.