Jaime Ortiz vs Tristan Gagne
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-2-0Record1-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"HeightTBD
-Reach-
144 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Weichafe· 1527 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Tristan Gagne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Jaime Ortiz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1497
If they lose-20→ 1449
If they win+20→ 1549
If they lose-28→ 1501
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jaime OrtizTristan Gagne
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tristan Gagne63%
Jaime Ortiz 37%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Tristan Gagne a 63% favorite over Jaime Ortiz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Tristan Gagne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1469, a 60-point edge.
Jaime Ortiz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.