Tristan Gagne vs Jaime Ortiz

EventSAMOURAI MMA 21 : DUFORT VS CHAPUT

DateSep 4, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueColisee De Laval

BroadcastUFC FIGHT PASS

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, September 4, 2026 — watch on UFC FIGHT PASS.

US East (ET): Fri 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 9:00 AM
Your time

Tristan Gagne vs Jaime Ortiz is a scheduled Featherweight fight on SAMOURAI MMA 21 : DUFORT VS CHAPUT. Tristan Gagne enters with a 0-0-0 record and Jaime Ortiz enters with a 1-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Tristan Gagne vs Jaime Ortiz quick answers

When is Tristan Gagne vs Jaime Ortiz?

Tristan Gagne vs Jaime Ortiz is listed for SAMOURAI MMA 21 : DUFORT VS CHAPUT on Sep 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST.

What event is Tristan Gagne vs Jaime Ortiz on?

Tristan Gagne vs Jaime Ortiz is listed on SAMOURAI MMA 21 : DUFORT VS CHAPUT.

What are the records for Tristan Gagne vs Jaime Ortiz?

Tristan Gagne enters with a 0-0-0 record and Jaime Ortiz enters with a 1-1-0 record.

What division is Tristan Gagne vs Jaime Ortiz?

Tristan Gagne vs Jaime Ortiz is listed as a Featherweight fight.

Tristan Gagne0-0-0Tristan Gagne vs Jaime OrtizJaime OrtizJames |1-1-0

Tristan Gagne0-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

0-0-0Record1-1-0

TBDAgeTBD

TBDHeight5'6"

-Reach-

155 lbsWeight144 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Jaime OrtizJames1-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Tristan Gagne owns a 2-point Elo edge (provisional). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Tristan Gagne and Jaime Ortiz across their careers →

Recent form

Tristan GagneNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Jaime OrtizL W · -2 Elo last 2

Elo edge

Tristan Gagne15000 last move

Jaime Ortiz1498-31 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

42%Tristan Gagne58%Jaime Ortiz

Model favoriteJaime Ortiz

Elo baseline50% for Jaime Ortiz

Matchup adjustment+8 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Jaime OrtizStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Jaime Ortiz is 58%, after Elo alone favored Tristan Gagne at 50%.

Current Elo ratings1500 · 1498Tristan Gagne leads by 2 rating points.

Recent opponent qualityNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Elo record depth0 · 2 fightsJaime Ortiz has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Tristan GagnevsJaime Ortiz

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Tristan GagneNo tracked pro wins

Jaime OrtizKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Tristan GagneJaime Ortiz

0Sig. strikes landed per min0

UFC lightweight average : 3.83

0Sig. strike accuracy0

UFC lightweight average : 46%

0Sig. strikes absorbed per min0

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

0Sig. strike defense0

UFC lightweight average : 54%

0Takedown average0

UFC lightweight average : 1.69

0Takedown accuracy0

UFC lightweight average : 31%

0Takedown defense0

UFC lightweight average : 58%

0Submission average0

UFC lightweight average : 0.52

0Wins by knockout1

0Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

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