Jair Perez vs Tucker Lutz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record12-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamGround Control
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jair PerezTucker Lutz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tucker Lutz53%
Jair Perez 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tucker Lutz a 53% favorite over Jair Perez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jair Perez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.
Jair Perez enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Tucker Lutz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jair Perez finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tucker Lutz 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.