Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Shamil Gaziev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78"Reach78"
259 lbsWeight261 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKHK MMA Team· 1686 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Shamil Gaziev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jairzinho Rozenstruik carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1721
If they lose-15→ 1689
If they win+15→ 1744
If they lose-17→ 1712
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jairzinho RozenstruikShamil Gaziev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamil Gaziev55%
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 45%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Gaziev a 55% favorite over Jairzinho Rozenstruik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Shamil Gaziev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1704, a 25-point edge.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Gaziev 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.