Combat Edge Intelligence

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Shamil Gaziev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record14-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78"Reach78"
259 lbsWeight261 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKHK MMA Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jairzinho RozenstruikNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Shamil GazievNow 1708
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.48
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
49%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.92
52%
Strike defense
45%
0
Takedown avg.
1.06
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
72%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Jairzinho RozenstruikShamil Gaziev
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (87%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (21%)
2 (13%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Shamil Gaziev63%
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Gaziev a 63% favorite over Jairzinho Rozenstruik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1708), separated by just 5 points.

Shamil Gaziev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Gaziev 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.