Jake Collier vs John Devine
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
78"ReachTBD
257 lbsWeight247 lbs
Pit MMATeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533
If they win+24→ 1577
If they lose-24→ 1529
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jake CollierJohn Devine
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Collier57%
John Devine 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Collier a 57% favorite over John Devine in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Devine's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1553), separated by just 4 points.
Jake Collier finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, John Devine 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.