Jake Collier vs Martin Buday
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record16-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
78"Reach77"
257 lbsWeight265 lbs
Pit MMATeamSpartakus Fight Gym
What's at stake
Martin Buday is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jake Collier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1571
If they lose-9→ 1539
If they win+9→ 1709
If they lose-23→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake CollierMartin Buday
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Martin Buday92%
Jake Collier 8%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Martin Buday a 92% favorite over Jake Collier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Martin Buday holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1700 to 1548, a 152-point edge.
Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jake Collier finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Martin Buday 56%.
Jake Collier and Martin Buday share 2 common opponents: Chris Barnett and Andrei Arlovski.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.