Jake Collier vs Scott Junk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record8-3-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
78"ReachTBD
257 lbsWeight265 lbs
Pit MMATeamMMA Development
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake CollierScott Junk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Scott Junk66%
Jake Collier 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Scott Junk a 66% favorite over Jake Collier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1551), separated by just 3 points.
Jake Collier finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Scott Junk 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.