Jake Ellenberger vs Mike Pyle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-15-0Record27-14-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
39,5"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Reign MMATeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1653
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake EllenbergerMike Pyle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Ellenberger58%
Mike Pyle 42%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Ellenberger a 58% favorite over Mike Pyle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Pyle's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1674), separated by just 9 points.
Jake Ellenberger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jake Ellenberger finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Mike Pyle 85%.
Jake Ellenberger and Mike Pyle share 1 common opponent: Matt Brown.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.