Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Ellenberger vs Rami Hamed

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rami Hamed
lb

Rami Hamed

“The Russian”

12-3-0WelterweightFFP

1664Good

Tale of the tape

31-15-0Record12-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
39,5"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Reign MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake EllenbergerNow 1665
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1653
Rami HamedNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1690 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.47
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
39%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
61%
Strike defense
50%
2.04
Takedown avg.
0
48%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
86%
Takedown defense
50%
0.36
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jake EllenbergerRami Hamed
1650170020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

21 (68%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
4 (13%)
Submission
1 (8%)
6 (19%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Rami Hamed63%
Jake Ellenberger 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rami Hamed a 63% favorite over Jake Ellenberger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jake Ellenberger's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.

Jake Ellenberger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Rami Hamed enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Jake Ellenberger finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Rami Hamed 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.