Jake Geauvreau vs Lucas Alexander
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record8-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-Reach73"
145 lbsWeight148 lbs
613 Fight Factory· 1586 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1620 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake GeauvreauLucas Alexander
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Geauvreau52%
Lucas Alexander 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Geauvreau a 52% favorite over Lucas Alexander in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucas Alexander's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1576), separated by just 1 points.
Jake Geauvreau enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lucas Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jake Geauvreau finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Alexander 38%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.