Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Geauvreau vs Nic Ouellet

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record7-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"HeightTBD
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
613 Fight Factory· 1586 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamPowell River BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake GeauvreauNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551
Nic OuelletNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jake GeauvreauNic Ouellet
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (50%)
Submission
5 (71%)
1 (17%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Nic Ouellet67%
Jake Geauvreau 33%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Nic Ouellet a 67% favorite over Jake Geauvreau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jake Geauvreau's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1568), separated by just 7 points.

Jake Geauvreau enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nic Ouellet enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jake Geauvreau finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Nic Ouellet 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.