Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Hadley vs Luis Gurule

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jake Hadley

Jake Hadley

“White Kong”

12-6-0FlyweightPFL

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record11-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
70"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Team FearlessTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake HadleyNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Luis GuruleNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.80
Sig. strikes / min
5.70
43%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.37
61%
Strike defense
58%
0.33
Takedown avg.
0.67
11%
Takedown accuracy
16%
55%
Takedown defense
59%
1.14
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Jake HadleyLuis Gurule
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
6 (50%)
Submission
1 (9%)
3 (25%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jake Hadley and Luis Gurule within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1641), separated by just 1 points.

Jake Hadley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jake Hadley finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Luis Gurule 55%.

Jake Hadley carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.