Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake McHugh vs Walter Cogliandro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record17-9-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-Reach72"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake McHughNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
Walter CogliandroNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Jake McHughWalter Cogliandro
1450150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
2 (50%)
Submission
4 (24%)
1 (25%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Walter Cogliandro78%
Jake McHugh 22%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Walter Cogliandro a 78% favorite over Jake McHugh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1549), separated by just 3 points.

Walter Cogliandro enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jake McHugh finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Walter Cogliandro 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.