Jake Wilkins vs Yajuro Yamasaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record3-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Reversal Gym Shinjuku Me, We· 1608 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1635 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Yajuro Yamasaki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Jake Wilkins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1551
If they lose-21→ 1503
If they win+21→ 1586
If they lose-27→ 1538
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jake WilkinsYajuro Yamasaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yajuro Yamasaki55%
Jake Wilkins 45%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Yajuro Yamasaki a 55% favorite over Jake Wilkins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Yajuro Yamasaki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1565 to 1524, a 41-point edge.
Yajuro Yamasaki enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jake Wilkins finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Yajuro Yamasaki 0%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.