Jake Wilkins vs Yajuro Yamasaki

Nov 8, 2026 · RIZIN.TV

Combat Edge model forecast46%Jake Wilkins54%Yajuro YamasakiFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 8, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueLaLa arena TOKYO-BAY

BroadcastRIZIN.TV

Jake WilkinsOutlaw / Ryusuke Tanaka |5-4-0Jake Wilkins vs Yajuro YamasakiYajuro Yamasaki3-0-0

Jake WilkinsOutlaw / Ryusuke Tanaka5-4-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

5-4-0Record3-0-0

34Age29

5'7"Height5'8"

TBDReachTBD

145 lbsWeight155 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Yajuro Yamasaki3-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Yajuro Yamasaki owns a 41-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Jake Wilkins and Yajuro Yamasaki across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jake WilkinsYajuro Yamasaki

Recent form

Jake WilkinsW L W L L · -20 Elo last 5

WLWLL

Yajuro YamasakiW W W · +65 Elo last 3

WWW

Elo edge

Jake Wilkins1524+29 last move

Yajuro Yamasaki1565+26 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jake Wilkins#394 of 451 active Featherweight fighters · 1524 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Takeharu Ogawa (rated 1500 at the time): +30.
Costliest loss: Lost to Max Kokuei (rated 1500 at the time): -33.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -20 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #393 Caden Cox, 0 ahead of #395 Ulysse Ndong.

Yajuro Yamasaki#334 of 455 active Lightweight fighters · 1565 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Satoru Kitaoka (rated 1564 at the time): +26.
Last 3 fights: 3 wins, 0 losses, +65 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #333 Sofiane El Fatni, 1 ahead of #335 Biaggio Ali Walsh.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1521 Elo over the last 3 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

46%Jake Wilkins54%Yajuro Yamasaki

Model favoriteYajuro Yamasaki

Elo baseline56% for Yajuro Yamasaki

Matchup adjustment-2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Yajuro YamasakiStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Yajuro Yamasaki leads the full model at 54%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 2 points.

Current Elo ratings1524 · 1565Yajuro Yamasaki leads by 41 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1497 · 1521Yajuro Yamasaki faced the stronger recent schedule (9 vs 3 sampled fights).

Elo record depth9 · 3 fightsJake Wilkins has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Jake WilkinsNow 1524 · #394 Featherweight

Wins by decision+27→ 1551

Loses by decision-21→ 1503

Yajuro YamasakiNow 1565 · #334 Lightweight

Wins by decision+21→ 1586

Loses by decision-27→ 1538

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jake WilkinsvsYajuro Yamasaki

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Jake WilkinsKO/TKO leads 80% of wins

Yajuro Yamasakidecision leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Jake WilkinsYajuro Yamasaki

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.94

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.90

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 56%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

4Wins by knockout0

1Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision3

0Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission0

3Losses by decision0

Jake Wilkins vs Yajuro Yamasaki is a scheduled Lightweight fight on RIZIN 55. Jake Wilkins enters with a 5-4-0 record and Yajuro Yamasaki enters with a 3-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.