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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Woodley vs Tim Credeur

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Credeur
us

Tim Credeur

“Crazy”

12-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1642Solid

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record12-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Bodyshop· 1650 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamGladiators Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake WoodleyNow 1639
If they win+24→ 1663
If they lose-24→ 1615
Tim CredeurNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.59
Not available
Strike accuracy
31%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.13
Not available
Strike defense
58%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.41
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
3.29

Trajectory

Jake WoodleyTim Credeur
1550160016501700200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
1 (13%)
Submission
8 (67%)
4 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Credeur54%
Jake Woodley 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Credeur a 54% favorite over Jake Woodley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1642), separated by just 3 points.

Jake Woodley enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Tim Credeur enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jake Woodley finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tim Credeur 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.