Jake Woodley vs Zayne Havener
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Jake Woodley62%
Zayne Havener 38%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Woodley a 62% favorite over Zayne Havener in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Jake Woodley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1587, a 79-point edge.
Jake Woodley enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jake Woodley finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Zayne Havener 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record6-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-Reach-
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Bodyshop· 1661 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamNice Guy Submission Fighting
What's at stake
Jake Woodley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Zayne Havener carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-20→ 1646
If they win+29→ 1616
If they lose-19→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jake WoodleyZayne Havener