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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jakub Kaszuba vs Rongzhu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rongzhu
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Rongzhu

29-6-0LightweightUFC

1755Great

Tale of the tape

16-0-0Record29-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Gracie Barra JacksonvilleTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1687 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jakub KaszubaNow 1761
If they win+16→ 1777
If they lose-16→ 1745
RongzhuNow 1755
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
6.05
Not available
Strike accuracy
52%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.38
Not available
Strike defense
53%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.34
Not available
Takedown accuracy
63%
Not available
Takedown defense
84%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Jakub KaszubaRongzhu
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
16 (57%)
2 (13%)
Submission
6 (21%)
8 (50%)
Decision
6 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Rongzhu53%
Jakub Kaszuba 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Rongzhu a 53% favorite over Jakub Kaszuba in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jakub Kaszuba's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1761 vs 1755), separated by just 6 points.

Jakub Kaszuba enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Rongzhu enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jakub Kaszuba finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.