Jamahal Hill vs Johnny Walker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record22-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
79"Reach82"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Black Lion Jiu-JitsuTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Jamahal Hill is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Johnny Walker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1717
If they lose-19→ 1685
If they win+14→ 1655
If they lose-10→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jamahal HillJohnny Walker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jamahal Hill60%
Johnny Walker 40%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Jamahal Hill a 60% favorite over Johnny Walker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Jamahal Hill holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1641, a 63-point edge.
Jamahal Hill enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jamahal Hill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Walker 91%.
Jamahal Hill and Johnny Walker share 2 common opponents: Thiago Santos and Paul Craig.
Johnny Walker carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.