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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamal Pogues vs Josh Parisian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jamal Pogues
us

Jamal Pogues

“The Stormtrooper”

11-5-0HeavyweightUFC

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record15-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
77"Reach79"
266 lbsWeight266 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamScorpion Fighting System· 1548 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Jamal Pogues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Josh Parisian carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jamal PoguesNow 1627
If they win+14→ 1641
If they lose-18→ 1609
Josh ParisianNow 1576
If they win+18→ 1594
If they lose-14→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
45%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.88
50%
Strike defense
41%
2.40
Takedown avg.
0.98
48%
Takedown accuracy
33%
78%
Takedown defense
46%
0
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Jamal PoguesJosh Parisian
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (13%)
6 (55%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jamal Pogues and Josh Parisian within a point of even.

Jamal Pogues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1576, a 51-point edge.

Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jamal Pogues finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Josh Parisian 87%.

Josh Parisian carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.