Combat Edge Intelligence

James Bochnovic vs Trevin Giles

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trevin Giles
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Trevin Giles

“The Problem”

16-7-0WelterweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record16-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'4"Height6'0"
45,5"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Rothwell MMATeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

Trevin Giles is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — James Bochnovic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

James BochnovicNow 1588
If they win+19→ 1607
If they lose-13→ 1575
Trevin GilesNow 1662
If they win+13→ 1675
If they lose-19→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.65
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
27%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
21%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
1.07
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

James BochnovicTrevin Giles
1600165017002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
9 (90%)
Submission
5 (31%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevin Giles70%
James Bochnovic 30%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevin Giles a 70% favorite over James Bochnovic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Trevin Giles holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1662 to 1588, a 74-point edge.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

James Bochnovic finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Giles 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.