Combat Edge Intelligence

James Gallagher vs Nate Landwehr

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record18-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
64"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James GallagherNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Nate LandwehrNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.55
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.96
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.73
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
72%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

James GallagherNate Landwehr
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
9 (75%)
Submission
2 (11%)
3 (25%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

James Gallagher60%
Nate Landwehr 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes James Gallagher a 60% favorite over Nate Landwehr in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Landwehr's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1640), separated by just 1 points.

James Gallagher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

James Gallagher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Nate Landwehr 61%.

Nate Landwehr carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.