James Krause vs Myktybek Orolbai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-8-0Record16-3-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'10"
73,5"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James KrauseMyktybek Orolbai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Myktybek Orolbai73%
James Krause 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Myktybek Orolbai a 73% favorite over James Krause in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1714), separated by just 1 points.
James Krause finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Myktybek Orolbai 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.