James Romero vs Thiago Hayne
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record10-6-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fit NHBTeamTata Fight Team· 1521 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1561
If they lose-24→ 1513
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
James RomeroThiago Hayne
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Romero53%
Thiago Hayne 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes James Romero a 53% favorite over Thiago Hayne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1536), separated by just 1 points.
James Romero finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Hayne 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.