Combat Edge Intelligence

James Te Huna vs Luke Fernandez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record6-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75,0"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Pirtek Athletic AllstarsTeamDante Rivera BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James Te HunaNow 1610
If they win+12→ 1622
If they lose-12→ 1598
Luke FernandezNow 1612
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.04
Sig. strikes / min
32
51%
Strike accuracy
100%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
63%
Strike defense
100%
2.75
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
0%
0.25
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

James Te HunaLuke Fernandez
1550160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
3 (19%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (19%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Luke Fernandez73%
James Te Huna 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luke Fernandez a 73% favorite over James Te Huna in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1612), separated by just 2 points.

James Te Huna enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

James Te Huna finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Luke Fernandez 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.