Combat Edge Intelligence

James Wallace vs Kēstin McClain

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record5-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69,5"Reach-
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Fisher's Bang GymTeamRoughhouse Boxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James WallaceNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Kēstin McClainNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.52
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
29%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
35%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

James WallaceKēstin McClain
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
8 (89%)
Submission
1 (20%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Kēstin McClain71%
James Wallace 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kēstin McClain a 71% favorite over James Wallace in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.

James Wallace enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kēstin McClain enters on a 5-fight win streak.

James Wallace finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Kēstin McClain 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.