Jamie Moyle vs Kailin Curran
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-4-0Record6-7-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'1"Height5'4"
35,0"Reach37,0"
125 lbsWeight113 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamRVCA
What's at stake
Jamie Moyle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Kailin Curran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1526
If they lose-26→ 1478
If they win+18→ 1489
If they lose-14→ 1457
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jamie MoyleKailin Curran
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kailin Curran56%
Jamie Moyle 44%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Kailin Curran a 56% favorite over Jamie Moyle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamie Moyle's way (45%).
Jamie Moyle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1504 to 1471, a 33-point edge.
Jamie Moyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kailin Curran enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jamie Moyle finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Kailin Curran 17%.
Jamie Moyle and Kailin Curran share 2 common opponents: Brianna Fortino and Sharon Jacobson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
Loss Decision · 2015
Win Decision · 2019