Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamie Mullarkey vs Landry Ward

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Landry Ward
us

Landry Ward

“The Lone Star Kid”

11-3-0LightweightPFL

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'1"
74"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Bangtao Muay Thai & MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jamie MullarkeyNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
Landry WardNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.20
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
2.40
Takedown avg.
TBD
30%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
79%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.13
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jamie MullarkeyLandry Ward
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
3 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (28%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Landry Ward54%
Jamie Mullarkey 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Landry Ward a 54% favorite over Jamie Mullarkey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamie Mullarkey's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1631), separated by just 0 points.

Landry Ward enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jamie Mullarkey finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Landry Ward 45%.

Jamie Mullarkey carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.