Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamie Mullarkey vs Maheshate Hayisaer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
74"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Bangtao Muay Thai & MMATeamEnbo Fight Club· 1685 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jamie MullarkeyNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
Maheshate HayisaerNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
47%
Strike accuracy
31%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.96
55%
Strike defense
52%
2.40
Takedown avg.
0
30%
Takedown accuracy
0%
79%
Takedown defense
47%
0.13
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jamie MullarkeyMaheshate Hayisaer
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
3 (17%)
Submission
1 (9%)
5 (28%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Maheshate Hayisaer51%
Jamie Mullarkey 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Maheshate Hayisaer a 51% favorite over Jamie Mullarkey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamie Mullarkey's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1631), separated by just 0 points.

Jamie Mullarkey finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Maheshate Hayisaer 55%.

Jamie Mullarkey carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.