Jamie Mullarkey vs Mauricio Ruffy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record14-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
74"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Bangtao Muay Thai & MMATeamThe Fighting Nerds
What's at stake
Mauricio Ruffy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jamie Mullarkey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-8→ 1623
If they win+11→ 1759
If they lose-21→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jamie MullarkeyMauricio Ruffy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mauricio Ruffy84%
Jamie Mullarkey 16%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Mauricio Ruffy a 84% favorite over Jamie Mullarkey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Mauricio Ruffy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1631, a 117-point edge.
Mauricio Ruffy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jamie Mullarkey finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Mauricio Ruffy 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.