Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamie Mullarkey vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
74"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Bangtao Muay Thai & MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Jamie Mullarkey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Michael Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jamie MullarkeyNow 1631
If they win+11→ 1642
If they lose-13→ 1618
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+13→ 1626
If they lose-11→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.20
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
47%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
55%
Strike defense
59%
2.40
Takedown avg.
0.58
30%
Takedown accuracy
39%
79%
Takedown defense
81%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Jamie MullarkeyMichael Johnson
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
3 (17%)
Submission
2 (8%)
5 (28%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Jamie Mullarkey53%
Michael Johnson 47%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Jamie Mullarkey a 53% favorite over Michael Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Jamie Mullarkey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1613, a 18-point edge.

Jamie Mullarkey finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.