Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamie Mullarkey vs Muhammad Naimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record13-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
74"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
Bangtao Muay Thai & MMATeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Muhammad Naimov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jamie Mullarkey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jamie MullarkeyNow 1631
If they win+14→ 1645
If they lose-10→ 1621
Muhammad NaimovNow 1679
If they win+14→ 1693
If they lose-18→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.20
Sig. strikes / min
2.51
47%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.35
55%
Strike defense
45%
2.40
Takedown avg.
1.49
30%
Takedown accuracy
0%
79%
Takedown defense
68%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Jamie MullarkeyMuhammad Naimov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
3 (17%)
Submission
2 (15%)
5 (28%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Muhammad Naimov53%
Jamie Mullarkey 47%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Naimov a 53% favorite over Jamie Mullarkey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Muhammad Naimov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1679 to 1631, a 48-point edge.

Jamie Mullarkey finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Naimov 62%.

Jamie Mullarkey carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.