Jamie Mullarkey vs Muhammad Naimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record13-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
74"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
Bangtao Muay Thai & MMATeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Muhammad Naimov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jamie Mullarkey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1620
If they win+15→ 1678
If they lose-17→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jamie MullarkeyMuhammad Naimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jamie Mullarkey53%
Muhammad Naimov 47%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Jamie Mullarkey a 53% favorite over Muhammad Naimov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Muhammad Naimov's way (45%).
Muhammad Naimov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1631, a 32-point edge.
Muhammad Naimov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jamie Mullarkey finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Naimov 62%.
Jamie Mullarkey carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.