Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamie Mullarkey vs Rob McCullough

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record19-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
74"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Bangtao Muay Thai & MMATeamHB Ultimate

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jamie MullarkeyNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
Rob McCulloughNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.20
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
47%
Strike accuracy
36%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.57
55%
Strike defense
59%
2.40
Takedown avg.
0.58
30%
Takedown accuracy
100%
79%
Takedown defense
68%
0.13
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jamie MullarkeyRob McCullough
1650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
12 (63%)
3 (17%)
Submission
1 (5%)
5 (28%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Jamie Mullarkey66%
Rob McCullough 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jamie Mullarkey a 66% favorite over Rob McCullough in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1630), separated by just 1 points.

Rob McCullough enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jamie Mullarkey finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Rob McCullough 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.