Jamie Pickett vs Joseph Holmes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
80"Reach 80"
185 lbsWeight189 lbs
The HitPit Martial ArtsTeamWAR Training Center
What's at stake
Joseph Holmes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jamie Pickett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1573
If they lose-14→ 1541
If they win+14→ 1608
If they lose-18→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jamie PickettJoseph Holmes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Holmes56%
Jamie Pickett 44%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Holmes a 56% favorite over Jamie Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Joseph Holmes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1594 to 1555, a 39-point edge.
Jamie Pickett enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Joseph Holmes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jamie Pickett finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Holmes 100%.
Jamie Pickett and Joseph Holmes share 1 common opponent: Jhonoven Pati.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.