Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamie Pickett vs Joseph Holmes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jamie Pickett
us

Jamie Pickett

“The Nightwolf”

13-11-0MiddleweightUFC

1556Solid

Tale of the tape

13-11-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
80"Reach 80"
185 lbsWeight189 lbs
The HitPit Martial ArtsTeamWAR Training Center

What's at stake

Joseph Holmes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jamie Pickett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jamie PickettNow 1556
If they win+19→ 1575
If they lose-13→ 1543
Joseph HolmesNow 1613
If they win+13→ 1626
If they lose-19→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.65
Sig. strikes / min
2.88
48%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.08
50%
Strike defense
55%
1.26
Takedown avg.
1.49
40%
Takedown accuracy
40%
67%
Takedown defense
50%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Jamie PickettJoseph Holmes
1550160016502021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (75%)
4 (31%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Joseph Holmes75%
Jamie Pickett 25%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Holmes a 75% favorite over Jamie Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Joseph Holmes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1556, a 57-point edge.

Jamie Pickett enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Joseph Holmes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jamie Pickett finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Holmes 100%.

Jamie Pickett and Joseph Holmes share 1 common opponent: Jhonoven Pati.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO (Punches) · 2020
Jhonoven Pati
Win Punches · 2021