Jamie Pickett vs Kyle Daukaus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record17-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
80"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The HitPit Martial ArtsTeamMartinez BJJ
What's at stake
Kyle Daukaus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jamie Pickett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1579
If they lose-9→ 1547
If they win+9→ 1725
If they lose-23→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jamie PickettKyle Daukaus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Daukaus92%
Jamie Pickett 8%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Daukaus a 92% favorite over Jamie Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Kyle Daukaus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1556, a 160-point edge.
Jamie Pickett enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jamie Pickett finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Daukaus 82%.
Jamie Pickett and Kyle Daukaus share 2 common opponents: Eryk Anders and Bo Nickal.
Jamie Pickett carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.