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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamie Siraj vs Nathan Fletcher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jamie Siraj
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Jamie Siraj

“The Gremlin”

14-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1659Good

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record11-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
66"Reach 70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pinnacle Combat Martial Arts AcademyTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jamie SirajNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Nathan FletcherNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
Not available
Strike accuracy
60%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
Not available
Strike defense
58%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.37
Not available
Takedown accuracy
31%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Jamie SirajNathan Fletcher
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
7 (50%)
Submission
7 (64%)
3 (21%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathan Fletcher58%
Jamie Siraj 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Fletcher a 58% favorite over Jamie Siraj in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamie Siraj's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1658), separated by just 1 points.

Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jamie Siraj finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Fletcher 82%.

Nathan Fletcher carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.