Jan Šťastný vs Vincent Yerly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record1-0-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"HeightTBD
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Vincent Yerly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Jan Šťastný carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1517
If they lose-21→ 1469
If they win+21→ 1550
If they lose-27→ 1502
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jan ŠťastnýVincent Yerly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vincent Yerly54%
Jan Šťastný 46%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Vincent Yerly a 54% favorite over Jan Šťastný in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Vincent Yerly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1490, a 39-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.