Jany St-Cyr vs Katherinne Machuca
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record3-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'2"
TBDReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
Jany St-Cyr is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Katherinne Machuca carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1570
If they lose-29→ 1522
If they win+29→ 1509
If they lose-19→ 1461
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jany St-CyrKatherinne Machuca
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jany St-Cyr68%
Katherinne Machuca 32%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Jany St-Cyr a 68% favorite over Katherinne Machuca in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Jany St-Cyr holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1551 to 1480, a 71-point edge.
Jany St-Cyr enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Katherinne Machuca enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Katherinne Machuca 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.