Jared Cannonier vs Michael Page
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record25-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
77"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamLondon Shootfighters
What's at stake
Michael Page is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1715
If they lose-10→ 1683
If they win+8→ 1835
If they lose-16→ 1811
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared CannonierMichael Page
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Page76%
Jared Cannonier 24%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Page a 76% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Michael Page holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1827 to 1693, a 134-point edge.
Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michael Page enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Michael Page 64%.
Michael Page carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.