Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Cannonier vs Michael Page

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record25-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
77"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

Michael Page is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jared CannonierNow 1707
If they win+21→ 1728
If they lose-11→ 1696
Michael PageNow 1827
If they win+8→ 1835
If they lose-16→ 1811

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1758 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
2.39
50%
Strike accuracy
60%
4.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.68
56%
Strike defense
57%
0.54
Takedown avg.
0.23
4%
Takedown accuracy
17%
65%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jared CannonierMichael Page
1700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
13 (52%)
2 (11%)
Submission
3 (12%)
5 (28%)
Decision
9 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Page79%
Jared Cannonier 21%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Page a 79% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Michael Page holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1827 to 1707, a 120-point edge.

Michael Page enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Michael Page 64%.

Michael Page carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.