Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Cannonier vs Michel Pereira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-10-0Record32-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
77"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
MMA LabTeamOvercome Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jared CannonierNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Michel PereiraNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
50%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
56%
Strike defense
51%
0.54
Takedown avg.
1.21
4%
Takedown accuracy
57%
65%
Takedown defense
76%
0
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Jared CannonierMichel Pereira
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
11 (34%)
2 (11%)
Submission
9 (28%)
5 (28%)
Decision
12 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jared Cannonier and Michel Pereira within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1695), separated by just 2 points.

Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Michel Pereira 63%.

Jared Cannonier carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.