Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Cannonier vs Nassourdine Imavov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record17-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
77"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

Nassourdine Imavov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jared CannonierNow 1707
If they win+20→ 1727
If they lose-12→ 1695
Nassourdine ImavovNow 1788
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-20→ 1768

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1758 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1738 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
4.45
50%
Strike accuracy
56%
4.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
56%
Strike defense
59%
0.54
Takedown avg.
0.85
4%
Takedown accuracy
32%
65%
Takedown defense
79%
0
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Jared CannonierNassourdine Imavov
170017501800202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
2 (11%)
Submission
4 (24%)
5 (28%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Nassourdine Imavov84%
Jared Cannonier 16%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Nassourdine Imavov a 84% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Nassourdine Imavov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1707, a 81-point edge.

Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Nassourdine Imavov 65%.

Jared Cannonier and Nassourdine Imavov share 3 common opponents: Caio Borralho, Sean Strickland and Israel Adesanya.

Jared Cannonier carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Caio Borralho
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Israel Adesanya
WinTKO · 2025
WinDecision (split) · 2022
Sean Strickland
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023