Jared Cannonier vs Nick Roehrick
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record9-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
77"Reach41,0"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA LabTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Jared Cannonier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Nick Roehrick carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1706
If they lose-19→ 1674
If they win+19→ 1637
If they lose-13→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jared CannonierNick Roehrick
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Cannonier84%
Nick Roehrick 16%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Cannonier a 84% favorite over Nick Roehrick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Jared Cannonier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1618, a 75-point edge.
Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Nick Roehrick 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.