Jared Cannonier vs Sean Strickland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record31-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
77"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Sean Strickland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1728
If they lose-11→ 1696
If they win+8→ 1831
If they lose-16→ 1807
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1758 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1742 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared CannonierSean Strickland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Strickland79%
Jared Cannonier 21%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Strickland a 79% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Sean Strickland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1707, a 116-point edge.
Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.
Jared Cannonier and Sean Strickland share 2 common opponents: Nassourdine Imavov and Israel Adesanya.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.