Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Cannonier vs Sean Strickland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-10-0Record31-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
77"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Sean Strickland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jared CannonierNow 1693
If they win+22→ 1715
If they lose-10→ 1683
Sean StricklandNow 1823
If they win+8→ 1831
If they lose-16→ 1807

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1741 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
6.04
50%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.57
56%
Strike defense
61%
0.54
Takedown avg.
0.71
4%
Takedown accuracy
64%
65%
Takedown defense
77%
0
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Jared CannonierSean Strickland
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
2 (11%)
Submission
4 (13%)
5 (28%)
Decision
15 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Strickland76%
Jared Cannonier 24%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Strickland a 76% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Sean Strickland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1693, a 130-point edge.

Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.

Jared Cannonier and Sean Strickland share 2 common opponents: Nassourdine Imavov and Israel Adesanya.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Israel Adesanya
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
LossKO/TKO · 2024
Nassourdine Imavov
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023