Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Cannonier vs Shawn Jordan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Shawn Jordan
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Shawn Jordan

“The Savage”

19-9-0HeavyweightPFL

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

18-10-0Record19-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight265 lbs
MMA LabTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Jared Cannonier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Shawn Jordan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jared CannonierNow 1693
If they win+14→ 1707
If they lose-18→ 1675
Shawn JordanNow 1640
If they win+18→ 1658
If they lose-14→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
50%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.30
56%
Strike defense
47%
0.54
Takedown avg.
1.97
4%
Takedown accuracy
38%
65%
Takedown defense
77%
0
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Jared CannonierShawn Jordan
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
15 (79%)
2 (11%)
Submission
3 (16%)
5 (28%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Jared Cannonier72%
Shawn Jordan 28%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Jared Cannonier a 72% favorite over Shawn Jordan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Jared Cannonier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1640, a 53-point edge.

Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shawn Jordan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Shawn Jordan 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.