Jared Gordon vs Jesse Ronson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-9-0Record28-12-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
68"Reach70"
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAdrenaline Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-12→ 1663
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1702 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jared GordonJesse Ronson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Gordon74%
Jesse Ronson 26%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gordon a 74% favorite over Jesse Ronson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1674), separated by just 1 points.
Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jesse Ronson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jared Gordon finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Ronson 86%.
Jared Gordon and Jesse Ronson share 1 common opponent: Rafa García.
Jesse Ronson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.