Jared Gordon vs Joaquim Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-9-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
68"Reach69"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jared Gordon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joaquim Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1689
If they lose-13→ 1665
If they win+17→ 1667
If they lose-15→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared GordonJoaquim Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Gordon59%
Joaquim Silva 41%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gordon a 59% favorite over Joaquim Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Jared Gordon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1650, a 28-point edge.
Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jared Gordon finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Joaquim Silva 71%.
Jared Gordon and Joaquim Silva share 1 common opponent: Nasrat Haqparast.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.