Jared Gordon vs Joe Solecki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
21-9-0Record13-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
68"Reach70"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamGym-O
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666
If they win+17→ 1684
If they lose-15→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared GordonJoe Solecki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Gordon60%
Joe Solecki 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gordon a 60% favorite over Joe Solecki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1667), separated by just 11 points.
Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jared Gordon finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Joe Solecki 69%.
Jared Gordon and Joe Solecki share 2 common opponents: Jim Miller and Grant Dawson.
Joe Solecki carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.